Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants

Before kickoff

KC

66%

NYG

34%

Predicted winner

KC

Confidence

50%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

22–9

Winner KC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.3 KC
• Home field+0.3 NYG
• Scoring differential−0.2 KC
• Rushing defense−0.2 KC