Minnesota Vikings at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

MIN

83%

CLE

17%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–17

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−1.0 MIN
• Scoring−0.4 MIN
• Passing efficiency+0.3 CLE
• Scoring differential−0.3 MIN