Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Before kickoff

PHI

45%

TB

55%

Predicted winner

TB

Confidence

46%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–25

Winner PHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 TB
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 TB
• Rushing defense+0.1 TB
• Interception rate−0.1 PHI