Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2021 W11 · NE at ATL	57% / 43%	25–0	58%	Correct
2021 W11 · NO at PHI	56% / 44%	29–40	57%	Miss
2021 W11 · NYG at TB	13% / 87%	10–30	79%	Correct
2021 W11 · PIT at LAC	33% / 67%	37–41	65%	Correct
2021 W11 · SF at JAX	72% / 28%	30–10	69%	Correct
2021 W11 · WAS at CAR	50% / 50%	27–21	53%	Correct
2021 W10 · ATL at DAL	49% / 51%	3–43	52%	Correct
2021 W10 · BAL at MIA	82% / 18%	10–22	75%	Miss
2021 W10 · BUF at NYJ	95% / 5%	45–17	84%	Correct
2021 W10 · CAR at ARI	30% / 70%	34–10	67%	Miss
2021 W10 · CLE at NE	61% / 39%	7–45	61%	Miss
2021 W10 · JAX at IND	14% / 86%	17–23	78%	Correct
2021 W10 · KC at LV	45% / 55%	41–14	56%	Miss
2021 W10 · LAR at SF	67% / 33%	10–31	64%	Miss
2021 W10 · MIN at LAC	43% / 57%	27–20	57%	Miss
2021 W10 · NO at TEN	44% / 56%	21–23	56%	Correct
2021 W10 · PHI at DEN	55% / 45%	30–13	56%	Correct
2021 W10 · SEA at GB	36% / 64%	0–17	62%	Correct
2021 W10 · TB at WAS	83% / 17%	19–29	75%	Miss
2021 W9 · ARI at SF	59% / 41%	31–17	57%	Correct
2021 W9 · ATL at NO	32% / 68%	27–25	63%	Miss
2021 W9 · BUF at JAX	91% / 9%	6–9	80%	Miss
2021 W9 · CHI at PIT	30% / 70%	27–29	65%	Correct
2021 W9 · CLE at CIN	51% / 49%	41–16	53%	Correct
2021 W9 · DEN at DAL	36% / 64%	30–16	61%	Miss
2021 W9 · GB at KC	71% / 29%	7–13	66%	Miss
2021 W9 · HOU at MIA	41% / 59%	9–17	58%	Correct
2021 W9 · LAC at PHI	45% / 55%	27–24	55%	Miss
2021 W9 · LV at NYG	69% / 31%	16–23	64%	Miss
2021 W9 · MIN at BAL	37% / 63%	31–34	60%	Correct
2021 W9 · NE at CAR	45% / 55%	24–6	55%	Miss
2021 W9 · NYJ at IND	13% / 87%	30–45	77%	Correct
2021 W9 · TEN at LAR	43% / 57%	28–16	57%	Miss
2021 W8 · CAR at ATL	32% / 68%	19–13	62%	Miss
2021 W8 · CIN at NYJ	82% / 18%	31–34	72%	Miss
2021 W8 · DAL at MIN	53% / 47%	20–16	51%	Correct
2021 W8 · GB at ARI	50% / 50%	24–21	51%	Correct
2021 W8 · JAX at SEA	28% / 72%	7–31	65%	Correct
2021 W8 · LAR at HOU	82% / 18%	38–22	73%	Correct
2021 W8 · MIA at BUF	7% / 93%	11–26	79%	Correct