Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

CAR

30%

ARI

70%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

67%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–10

Winner CAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 ARI
• Scoring+0.6 ARI
• Offensive touchdowns+0.3 ARI
• Passing offense−0.2 CAR