Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

GB

50%

ARI

50%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–21

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 ARI
• Scoring+0.2 ARI
• Points allowed−0.2 GB
• Interception rate−0.1 GB