New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts

Before kickoff

NYJ

13%

IND

87%

Predicted winner

IND

Confidence

77%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–45

Winner IND. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 IND
• Scoring+0.7 IND
• Points allowed−0.3 NYJ
• Passing defense+0.3 IND