Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

ATL

49%

DAL

51%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

52%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

3–43

Winner DAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DAL
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 ATL
• Scoring+0.4 DAL
• Passing offense−0.1 ATL