Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

MIN

43%

LAC

57%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–20

Winner MIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 LAC
• Passing defense+0.5 LAC
• Rushing defense−0.2 MIN
• Passing offense−0.1 MIN