Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2021 W14 · SEA at HOU	75% / 25%	33–13	73%	Correct
2021 W14 · SF at CIN	56% / 44%	26–23	59%	Correct
2021 W13 · ARI at CHI	66% / 34%	33–22	66%	Correct
2021 W13 · BAL at PIT	45% / 55%	19–20	58%	Correct
2021 W13 · DAL at NO	34% / 66%	27–17	66%	Miss
2021 W13 · DEN at KC	36% / 64%	9–22	65%	Correct
2021 W13 · IND at HOU	84% / 17%	31–0	78%	Correct
2021 W13 · JAX at LAR	16% / 84%	7–37	78%	Correct
2021 W13 · LAC at CIN	49% / 51%	41–22	56%	Miss
2021 W13 · MIN at DET	77% / 23%	27–29	74%	Miss
2021 W13 · NE at BUF	30% / 70%	14–10	68%	Miss
2021 W13 · NYG at MIA	44% / 56%	9–20	59%	Correct
2021 W13 · PHI at NYJ	83% / 17%	33–18	78%	Correct
2021 W13 · SF at SEA	67% / 33%	23–30	67%	Miss
2021 W13 · TB at ATL	81% / 19%	30–17	76%	Correct
2021 W13 · WAS at LV	46% / 54%	17–15	57%	Miss
2021 W12 · ATL at JAX	57% / 43%	21–14	59%	Correct
2021 W12 · BUF at NO	48% / 52%	31–6	55%	Miss
2021 W12 · CAR at MIA	60% / 40%	10–33	61%	Miss
2021 W12 · CHI at DET	54% / 46%	16–14	57%	Correct
2021 W12 · CLE at BAL	67% / 33%	10–16	66%	Miss
2021 W12 · LAC at DEN	61% / 39%	13–28	62%	Miss
2021 W12 · LAR at GB	42% / 58%	28–36	60%	Correct
2021 W12 · LV at DAL	41% / 59%	36–33	60%	Miss
2021 W12 · MIN at SF	41% / 59%	26–34	60%	Correct
2021 W12 · NYJ at HOU	33% / 67%	21–14	66%	Miss
2021 W12 · PHI at NYG	73% / 27%	7–13	70%	Miss
2021 W12 · PIT at CIN	39% / 61%	10–41	62%	Correct
2021 W12 · SEA at WAS	40% / 60%	15–17	61%	Correct
2021 W12 · TB at IND	56% / 44%	38–31	58%	Correct
2021 W12 · TEN at NE	49% / 51%	13–36	55%	Correct
2021 W11 · ARI at SEA	64% / 36%	23–13	63%	Correct
2021 W11 · BAL at CHI	63% / 37%	16–13	62%	Correct
2021 W11 · CIN at LV	44% / 56%	32–13	57%	Miss
2021 W11 · DAL at KC	45% / 55%	9–19	56%	Correct
2021 W11 · DET at CLE	19% / 81%	10–13	75%	Correct
2021 W11 · GB at MIN	50% / 50%	31–34	53%	Correct
2021 W11 · HOU at TEN	9% / 91%	22–13	82%	Miss
2021 W11 · IND at BUF	31% / 69%	41–15	66%	Miss
2021 W11 · MIA at NYJ	63% / 37%	24–17	62%	Correct