Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

CLE

67%

BAL

33%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–16

Winner BAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 BAL
• QB yards/attempt−0.6 CLE
• Passing defense−0.4 CLE
• Scoring+0.2 BAL