Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

LV

41%

DAL

59%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

36–33

Winner LV. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DAL
• Scoring+0.3 DAL
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 LV
• Points allowed−0.2 LV