Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

MIN

77%

DET

23%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–29

Winner DET. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DET
• QB yards/attempt−0.5 MIN
• Scoring−0.5 MIN
• Offensive touchdowns−0.3 MIN