Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

Before kickoff

PHI

73%

NYG

27%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

70%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

7–13

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 NYG
• Scoring−0.5 PHI
• Passing defense−0.2 PHI
• Turnovers−0.1 PHI