Miami Dolphins at New York Jets

Before kickoff

MIA

63%

NYJ

37%

Predicted winner

MIA

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–17

Winner MIA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 NYJ
• Points allowed+0.4 NYJ
• Interception rate−0.2 MIA
• Rushing defense−0.2 MIA