Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

SEA

40%

WAS

60%

Predicted winner

WAS

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

15–17

Winner WAS. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 WAS
• Passing defense+0.3 WAS
• Turnovers−0.3 SEA
• Points allowed+0.2 WAS