Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2021 W16 · DEN at LV	41% / 59%	13–17	62%	Correct
2021 W16 · DET at ATL	37% / 63%	16–20	65%	Correct
2021 W16 · IND at ARI	59% / 41%	22–16	63%	Correct
2021 W16 · JAX at NYJ	46% / 54%	21–26	59%	Correct
2021 W16 · LAC at HOU	80% / 20%	29–41	77%	Miss
2021 W16 · LAR at MIN	57% / 43%	30–23	61%	Correct
2021 W16 · MIA at NO	28% / 72%	20–3	72%	Miss
2021 W16 · NYG at PHI	22% / 78%	10–34	76%	Correct
2021 W16 · PIT at KC	37% / 63%	10–36	66%	Correct
2021 W16 · SF at TEN	49% / 51%	17–20	57%	Correct
2021 W16 · TB at CAR	72% / 28%	32–6	72%	Correct
2021 W16 · WAS at DAL	25% / 75%	14–56	74%	Correct
2021 W15 · ARI at DET	75% / 25%	12–30	73%	Miss
2021 W15 · ATL at SF	27% / 73%	13–31	72%	Correct
2021 W15 · CAR at BUF	19% / 81%	14–31	77%	Correct
2021 W15 · CIN at DEN	49% / 51%	15–10	56%	Miss
2021 W15 · DAL at NYG	71% / 29%	21–6	71%	Correct
2021 W15 · GB at BAL	78% / 22%	31–30	75%	Correct
2021 W15 · HOU at JAX	42% / 58%	30–16	61%	Miss
2021 W15 · KC at LAC	42% / 58%	34–28	61%	Miss
2021 W15 · LV at CLE	31% / 69%	16–14	69%	Miss
2021 W15 · MIN at CHI	69% / 31%	17–9	69%	Correct
2021 W15 · NE at IND	27% / 73%	17–27	72%	Correct
2021 W15 · NO at TB	33% / 67%	9–0	68%	Miss
2021 W15 · NYJ at MIA	27% / 73%	24–31	72%	Correct
2021 W15 · SEA at LAR	29% / 71%	10–20	70%	Correct
2021 W15 · TEN at PIT	57% / 43%	13–19	61%	Miss
2021 W15 · WAS at PHI	40% / 60%	17–27	63%	Correct
2021 W14 · ATL at CAR	42% / 58%	29–21	61%	Miss
2021 W14 · BAL at CLE	33% / 67%	22–24	67%	Correct
2021 W14 · BUF at TB	41% / 59%	27–33	61%	Correct
2021 W14 · CHI at GB	18% / 82%	30–45	77%	Correct
2021 W14 · DAL at WAS	50% / 50%	27–20	56%	Miss
2021 W14 · DET at DEN	31% / 69%	10–38	69%	Correct
2021 W14 · JAX at TEN	17% / 83%	0–20	78%	Correct
2021 W14 · LAR at ARI	55% / 45%	30–23	59%	Correct
2021 W14 · LV at KC	40% / 60%	9–48	62%	Correct
2021 W14 · NO at NYJ	80% / 20%	30–9	76%	Correct
2021 W14 · NYG at LAC	17% / 83%	21–37	78%	Correct
2021 W14 · PIT at MIN	35% / 65%	28–36	66%	Correct