Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans

Before kickoff

LAC

80%

HOU

20%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

77%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

29–41

Winner HOU. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 HOU
• Scoring−0.6 LAC
• Passing offense+0.3 HOU
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 LAC