Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

TB

72%

CAR

28%

Predicted winner

TB

Confidence

72%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

32–6

Winner TB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 CAR
• Scoring−0.6 TB
• Passing defense+0.5 CAR
• Passing offense+0.5 CAR