Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

DAL

50%

WAS

50%

Predicted winner

WAS

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–20

Winner DAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 WAS
• Scoring−0.5 DAL
• Rushing defense+0.4 WAS
• Passing offense+0.3 WAS