Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2025 W11 · SF at ARI	40% / 60%	41–22	60%	Miss
2025 W11 · TB at BUF	44% / 56%	32–44	57%	Correct
2025 W11 · WAS at MIA	50% / 50%	13–16	54%	Correct
2025 W10 · ARI at SEA	28% / 72%	22–44	67%	Correct
2025 W10 · ATL at IND	22% / 78%	25–31	72%	Correct
2025 W10 · BAL at MIN	56% / 44%	27–19	56%	Correct
2025 W10 · BUF at MIA	67% / 33%	13–30	64%	Miss
2025 W10 · CLE at NYJ	39% / 61%	20–27	59%	Correct
2025 W10 · DET at WAS	73% / 27%	44–22	68%	Correct
2025 W10 · JAX at HOU	52% / 48%	29–36	53%	Miss
2025 W10 · LAR at SF	61% / 39%	42–26	60%	Correct
2025 W10 · LV at DEN	17% / 83%	7–10	75%	Correct
2025 W10 · NE at TB	35% / 65%	28–23	62%	Miss
2025 W10 · NO at CAR	35% / 65%	17–7	63%	Miss
2025 W10 · NYG at CHI	33% / 67%	20–24	64%	Correct
2025 W10 · PHI at GB	52% / 48%	10–7	53%	Correct
2025 W10 · PIT at LAC	41% / 59%	10–25	58%	Correct
2025 W9 · ARI at DAL	44% / 56%	27–17	55%	Miss
2025 W9 · ATL at NE	25% / 75%	23–24	68%	Correct
2025 W9 · BAL at MIA	44% / 56%	28–6	55%	Miss
2025 W9 · CAR at GB	19% / 81%	16–13	73%	Miss
2025 W9 · CHI at CIN	50% / 50%	47–42	51%	Miss
2025 W9 · DEN at HOU	55% / 45%	18–15	54%	Correct
2025 W9 · IND at PIT	60% / 40%	20–27	58%	Miss
2025 W9 · JAX at LV	61% / 39%	30–29	58%	Correct
2025 W9 · KC at BUF	45% / 55%	21–28	55%	Correct
2025 W9 · LAC at TEN	78% / 22%	27–20	72%	Correct
2025 W9 · MIN at DET	23% / 77%	27–24	70%	Miss
2025 W9 · NO at LAR	11% / 89%	10–34	78%	Correct
2025 W9 · SEA at WAS	67% / 33%	38–14	63%	Correct
2025 W9 · SF at NYG	53% / 47%	34–24	54%	Correct
2025 W8 · BUF at CAR	66% / 34%	40–9	61%	Correct
2025 W8 · CHI at BAL	45% / 55%	16–30	53%	Correct
2025 W8 · CLE at NE	23% / 77%	13–32	70%	Correct
2025 W8 · DAL at DEN	39% / 61%	24–44	59%	Correct
2025 W8 · GB at PIT	53% / 47%	35–25	52%	Correct
2025 W8 · MIA at ATL	37% / 63%	34–10	59%	Miss
2025 W8 · MIN at LAC	47% / 53%	10–37	52%	Correct
2025 W8 · NYG at PHI	25% / 75%	20–38	69%	Correct
2025 W8 · NYJ at CIN	33% / 67%	39–38	63%	Miss