San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

SF

40%

ARI

60%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

41–22

Winner SF. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 ARI
• Passing efficiency+0.2 ARI
• Interception rate+0.1 ARI
• Win percentage−0.1 SF