Buffalo Bills at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

BUF

66%

CAR

34%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

40–9

Winner BUF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.3 BUF
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 BUF
• Home field+0.3 CAR
• Passing efficiency+0.3 CAR