Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

MIN

23%

DET

77%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

70%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–24

Winner MIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.3 DET
• Home field+0.3 DET
• Scoring differential+0.2 DET
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 DET