Washington Commanders at New York Giants

Before kickoff

WAS

54%

NYG

46%

Predicted winner

WAS

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

29–21

Winner WAS. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 NYG
• Rest+0.1 NYG
• Win percentage−0.1 WAS
• Rushing offense−0.1 WAS