Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

MIA

47%

PIT

53%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

15–28

Winner PIT. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.4 MIA
• Home field+0.3 PIT
• Interception rate+0.1 PIT
• QB completion %+0.1 PIT