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2025 · Week 14 · v0.2 · regular season

Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

WAS
64%
MIN
36%
Predicted winner
WAS
Confidence
65%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

031

Winner MIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • QB yards/attempt−0.6 WAS
  • Home field+0.3 MIN
  • Interception rate−0.2 WAS
  • Rushing offense−0.2 WAS