Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

PIT

39%

CHI

61%

Predicted winner

CHI

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

28–31

Winner CHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.5 CHI
• Home field+0.3 CHI
• QB completion %−0.2 PIT
• Rushing offense+0.1 CHI