Jacksonville Jaguars at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

JAX

43%

ARI

57%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–24

Winner JAX. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 ARI
• QB yards/attempt+0.1 ARI
• Win percentage−0.1 JAX
• Offensive touchdowns+0.1 ARI