Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

DET

56%

PHI

44%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

9–16

Winner PHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 PHI
• Scoring−0.3 DET
• Offensive touchdowns−0.1 DET
• Scoring differential−0.1 DET