Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

CIN

43%

PIT

57%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

12–34

Winner PIT. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 PIT
• Rushing defense+0.2 PIT
• Rest−0.1 CIN
• Scoring differential+0.1 PIT