Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

PIT

71%

CIN

29%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–33

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.9 PIT
• Home field+0.3 CIN
• QB completion %+0.2 CIN
• Scoring differential−0.2 PIT