New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

NE

69%

TEN

31%

Predicted winner

NE

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–13

Winner NE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.4 NE
• Home field+0.3 TEN
• Passing efficiency+0.2 TEN
• Scoring differential−0.2 NE