Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

MIA

64%

CLE

36%

Predicted winner

MIA

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–31

Winner CLE. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.7 MIA
• Scoring−0.3 MIA
• Home field+0.3 CLE
• Passing efficiency+0.2 CLE