Los Angeles Rams at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

LAR

60%

JAX

40%

Predicted winner

LAR

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

35–7

Winner LAR. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing efficiency+0.2 JAX
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 LAR
• Interception rate−0.1 LAR
• Offensive touchdowns−0.1 LAR