Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

GB

66%

ARI

34%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–23

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.7 GB
• Passing efficiency+0.3 ARI
• Home field+0.3 ARI
• QB completion %+0.2 ARI