Carolina Panthers at New York Jets

Before kickoff

CAR

51%

NYJ

49%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

50%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–6

Winner CAR. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 NYJ
• Win percentage−0.2 CAR
• Interception rate+0.2 NYJ
• QB yards/attempt−0.1 CAR