Seattle Seahawks at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

SEA

60%

JAX

40%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

54%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–12

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.5 SEA
• Passing efficiency+0.3 JAX
• Home field+0.3 JAX
• Scoring−0.1 SEA