Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers

Before kickoff

CIN

25%

GB

75%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

18–27

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential+0.3 GB
• Home field+0.3 GB
• Rushing offense+0.2 GB
• Passing efficiency−0.2 CIN