Denver Broncos at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

DEN

34%

PHI

66%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–17

Winner DEN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 PHI
• Win percentage+0.2 PHI
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 PHI
• Interception rate+0.2 PHI