San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

SF

54%

ARI

46%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–47

Winner ARI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 ARI
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 SF
• Passing efficiency+0.3 ARI
• Scoring−0.1 SF