Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

TEN

47%

JAX

53%

Predicted winner

JAX

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–20

Winner JAX. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 JAX
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 JAX
• Passing defense−0.2 TEN
• QB completion %−0.2 TEN