Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

SEA

44%

CHI

56%

Predicted winner

CHI

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–3

Winner SEA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CHI
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 SEA
• Interception rate+0.2 CHI
• Scoring−0.2 SEA