Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

MIA

75%

CLE

25%

Predicted winner

MIA

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–3

Winner MIA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−1.2 MIA
• Home field+0.6 CLE
• QB completion %+0.4 CLE
• Interception rate−0.3 MIA