Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints

Before kickoff

LV

37%

NO

63%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

25–10

Winner LV. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 NO
• Scoring+0.2 NO
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 NO
• Scoring differential+0.1 NO