Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants

Before kickoff

IND

71%

NYG

29%

Predicted winner

IND

Confidence

72%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

33–45

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.9 IND
• Home field+0.6 NYG
• Scoring−0.4 IND
• QB completion %+0.2 NYG