Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

JAX

31%

TEN

69%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–6

Winner JAX. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 TEN
• QB yards/attempt+0.6 TEN
• Passing defense+0.2 TEN
• QB completion %−0.1 JAX