Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

GB

33%

DET

67%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

67%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–34

Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 DET
• Scoring+0.3 DET
• Scoring differential+0.2 DET
• Rushing defense+0.1 DET