San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers

Before kickoff

SF

56%

GB

44%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–38

Winner GB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 GB
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 SF
• Rushing defense−0.1 SF
• Passing efficiency+0.1 GB