Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders

Before kickoff

DEN

60%

LV

40%

Predicted winner

DEN

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

29–19

Winner DEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 LV
• Scoring differential−0.2 DEN
• Interception rate−0.2 DEN
• Scoring−0.1 DEN